ECONOMIC FORECAST SUBSCRIPTION
This is a SOURCES SOUGHT NOTICE to determine the availability and capability of qualified small businesses (including certified 8(a), Small Disadvantaged, HUBZone firms; Veteran and Service-disabled Veteran-owned Small Businesses, Women-owned Small Businesses and Economically Disadvantaged Women-owned Small Business (EDWOSB) to provide an on-line subscription to help comply with statutory requirements regarding Capital Ratios, Budget Re-estimates, Credit Reforms, and Credit Risk Analysis. Providing the coverage, depth, scope, accuracy and format in a single source subscription and is issuing this Request for Information (RFI) to solicit responses from capable sources and capability statements to ensure sufficient competition exists to meet the government's requirements. Teaming arrangements and joint ventures will be considered for any subsequent procurement based on the Government's Market Research.
The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) insures an average of approximately $40 billion in multifamily rental projects each year. In doing so, it evaluates the market absorption potential for these projects and how they relate to existing projects in the market. HUD has two objectives. One is to avoid financing projects in markets where it is anticipated there will be an excess supply of rental units by the time the project is completed, thereby reducing the risk of default for the proposed project. The other is to avoid increasing vacancy levels above desired levels in the market to reduce the risk to financial viability of existing rental projects, some of whose mortgages HUD may have insured.
Most of HUD's multifamily mortgage business is concentrated in metropolitan areas, especially large, fast-growing areas. Detailed information on the location, type, rents, and vacancy rates of existing and newly developed multifamily rental projects is highly valuable in estimating the impacts and potential absorption of rental projects applying for HUD mortgage insurance or subsidy assistance. A limited amount of rental vacancy rate data is available from the Bureau of the Census. This information is collected in greater detail for multifamily rental projects by a limited number of firms that sell it to interested parties in a standardized format. HUD is interested in purchasing such data to assist it in carrying out its market analysis functions.
Specific Tasks
Projects under this requirement shall will be quite varied in subject matter, magnitude, and complexity as they depend on the nature of complaints received from the public, HUD's priorities and decisions regarding which investigations to initiate, requests for technical assistance from HUD's field offices, and the diverse issues that arise during investigations. Hence, for each project Management and Work Plan (MWP) will be develop in details of the work to be performed.
Work Products
Prepare interim and other work products consistent with the requirements of each project, which will be submitted to the COR on the dates specified. Draft versions of all reports must be submitted for HUD review, comments, and approval. Oral presentations of findings at HUD headquarters by the Contractor may be requested.
1. Housing Market Analysis Data
Meet with Contracting Officer Representative (COR) and designated Government official to plan analyses, to inform HUD of the status of work, and to present findings. On an ongoing basis, available for less formal reports and consultations via email and telephone. All rent comparability, submarket and metropolitan market report for 165 primary, secondary and tertiary metropolitan multifamily markets, including quarterly executive- level summary data, rankings and analyses on U.S. and regional markets, as well as a variety of special research studies. For the 50 primary metropolitan markets. The type of work to be performed may include, but not be limited to:
• Details on supply, demand, vacancies, rents, and related market indicators on metropolitan markets for the multifamily, office, retail and industrial sectors. Submarket-level detail for multifamily, office and retail markets are included. Annual and quarterly trends are presented, along with five-year forecasts. Now updated monthly. Available in Adobe Acrobat (pdf) and Excel (xls) formats.
• Metropolitan market and submarket details on supply, demand, rents and vacancies for Class A and B/C properties for the multifamily and office sectors. Annual and quarterly trends are presented. Now updated monthly. Available in Excel (xls) formats.
• Aggregate and property-specific rent comp group reports including rents and vacancies, in addition to five-year historical trends for aggregate rent comp groups for the multifamily, office and retail sectors. Now updated monthly. Available in Adobe Acrobat (pdf) and Excel (xls) formats.
• Individual property sales, including transaction and property characteristics for multifamily, office, retail and industrial sectors. Updated weekly.
• Economic and real estate analysis in narrative form on most metropolitan areas. The reports discuss key multifamily, office, retail and industrial supply and demand trends in each metropolitan market, pinpoint under-performing and outperforming submarkets. Now updated monthly. Available in Adobe Acrobat (pdf) format.
• Current market indicators across all submarkets in each metropolitan market, including rents, vacancies, free rent concessions, and expenses for multifamily, office and retail sectors. Now updated monthly. Available in Excel (xls) format.
• Building-level listings and summary statistics for submarkets and metropolitan markets are presented of planned/proposed, projects under construction and recently completed for the multifamily, office and retail sectors. Now updated monthly.
• Daily real estate and economic stories are posted from the leading local newspapers and periodicals across the nation, initially coded into relevant metropolitan markets and topic categories (e.g. multifamily construction). A searchable 90-day archive is maintained. Updated daily. Available in an HTML format.
2. Data Files
Excel data files with supply demand and rent time series data (from 1980 in most markets) for the Primary Markets and selected market aggregations are extractable for all database variables for the 30 secondary metropolitan markets data and reports provided in the following:
• Without the forecasts;
• Without the historical trends; and are available.
• For the 85-tertiary metropolitan markets the information provided is the same as for the secondary markets, with less submarket details and historical data is limited to the past 3-4 years.
3. Sales Comp Module
A database of apartment transactions valued at $2 million or more in all 80 primary and secondary markets and for 85 tertiary markets.
4. Transaction Analytics Module
This is a database that includes sales transaction activity. It provides mean, median and 12-month-rolling cap rates, sales price data by price per unit or square foot, and total transaction volume. Transaction trends are available by quarter back to 2005 for metropolitan areas, regions, and the U.S. This module also provides data on top deals, with buyer and seller information, and on key submarket transaction activity. HUD will use this information to identify sales and capital market trends in the multifamily real estate market and assess troubled debt.
5. Single Property Valuation Tool
Allows the user to enter their assumptions or observations on current building performance, select a variety of forecast options based on observations and predictions at the submarket and metro levels, and select some final assumptions in terms of terminal cap rates, additional income and other variable affecting property value. The result is three distinct market values based on the DCF, Sales Comp and Direct Cap methodologies.
6. Expanding Markets
Currently FHA has access to 200 apartment markets throughout the United States. With this acquisition HUD will have access to an additional 75 markets.
7. Transaction Analytics Module
Consultative advices on various issues, including but not limited to statistical, economic, financial, and lending industry issues, which may or may not be necessarily tied to specific investigations. Examples of these include providing literature reviews to HUD as well as providing industry know-how and industry expertise in assisting HUD in investigations.
However, be advised that generic capability statements are not sufficient for effective evaluation of respondents' capacity and capability to perform the specific work as required. Response must directly demonstrate the company's capability, experience, and/or ability to marshal resources to effectively and efficiently perform each of the tasks described above in sufficient level of detail to allow definitive numerical evaluation; and evidence that the contractor can satisfy the minimum requirements listed above in compliance with
FAR 52.219-14 ("Limitations of Subcontracting"). Failure to definitively address each of these tasks will result in a finding that respondent lacks capability to perform the work.
Responses to this notice shall be limited to ten pages, and must include:
1. Company name, mailing address, e-mail address, telephone and FAX numbers, website address (if available), and the name, telephone number, and e-mail address of a point of contact having the authority and knowledge to clarify responses with Government representatives.
2. Name, title, telephone number, and e-mail addresses of individuals who can verify the demonstrated capabilities identified in the responses.
3. Business size for NAICS 519130 and the Small Business Standard is 1,000 employees and status, the PSC Code D317 if qualified as an 8(a) firm (must be certified by SBA), Small Disadvantaged Business (must be certified by SBA), Woman-Owned Small Business, HUBZone firm (must be certified by SBA), and/or Service-Disabled Veteran-Owned Small Business (must be listed in the VetBiz Vendor Information Pages).
4. DUNS number, CAGE Code, Tax Identification Number, and company structure (Corporation, LLC, partnership, joint venture, etc.). Companies also must be registered in the System for Award Management (SAM) at https://www.sam.gov/portal/SAM/#1 to be considered as a potential source.
5. Identification of the firm's GSA Schedule contract(s) by Schedule number and contract number and SINs that are applicable to this potential requirement are also requested.
6. If the company has a Government approved accounting system, please identify the agency that approved the system.
Please submit copies of any documentation such as letters or certificates to indicate the firm's status (see item #3, above)
Teaming arrangements are acceptable, and the information required above on the company responding to this announcement, should also be provided for each entity expected to be teammates of the respondent for performance of this work.
To the maximum extent possible, please submit non-proprietary information. Any proprietary information submitted should be identified as such and will be properly protected from disclosure.
This notice is for planning purposes only, and does not constitute an Invitation for Bids, a Request for Proposals, a Solicitation, and a Request for Quotes, or an indication the Government will contract for the items contained in this announcement. This request is not to be construed as a commitment on the part of the Government to award a contract, nor does the Government intend to pay for any information submitted as a result of this request. The Government will not reimburse respondents for any cost associated with submission of the information being requested or reimburse expenses incurred to interested parties for responses to this announcement.
Responses to this announcement will not be returned, nor there any ensuing discussions or debriefings of any responses. However, information obtained as a result of this announcement may be reflected in the subsequent solicitation, and HUD, OCPO may contact one or more respondents for clarifications and to enhance the Government's understanding. This announcement is Government market research, and may result in revisions in both its requirements and its acquisition strategy based on industry responses. RESPONDENTS MUST SUBMIT CAPABILITY STATEMENT VIA E-MAIL to Alkeia Motley at alkeia.motley@hud.gov no later than March 28, 201912:00 PM Eastern Time for consideration.
Alkeia Motley , Contract Specialist, Phone 202-402-7318, Fax 22 401-2032, Email alkeia.motley@hud.gov - Brenda K Lee, Contracting Officer, Phone 202-402-3504, Fax 202 401-2032, Email brenda.k.lee@hud.gov
